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Re: B44 Progress Report Released

Posted by R30A on Thu Jul 21 20:45:10 2016, in response to Re: B44 Progress Report Released, posted by R30A on Thu Jul 21 16:21:40 2016.

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Introduction
"On November 13, 2013 after abouttenyears of planning with implementationtwoyears overdue, the B44 SBS began operation. It was proposed in 2009for 2011 implementation, but its roots go as far back as 2003 when it was one of four possibleSBS route choicesfor Brooklyn."
OK.

"The MTA implemented SBS service along a modified B44 bus route. It took until June 2016 before the MTA released specific results."
No. A great amount of data were available before June 2016.

"All previous SBS route progress reports were available shortly after the first complete year of operation. So why the 1½ year delay with the B44? Why did we have to wait over 2½ years for statistics to be announced?The report seems to indicate that ongoing SBS andother road construction during the first year prevented less than favorable results."
We didn't. We only had to wait over 2.5 years for it to be presented in a single report. The numbers show it has been a success since shortly after day one.

"So the question needs to be asked why was there construction for an entire year after implementation?"
Because apparently construction was needed.

"Why couldn't there have been better coordination between the agencies or the project delayed until construction was complete?"
Why delay an essential project for construction?

"Those questions are not addressed."
That is because they are ridiculous.

A more probable explanation for the report delay is that the MTA was awaiting statistics which they could spin to portray this effort as a monumental success when the facts prove otherwise.
They clearly had the data to show it was a success since day one. More likely than your absurd conspiracies is that this is when someone actually ASKED for them.

"They did exactly that.B44 ResultsThe MTA states that SBS ridership is up by 10 percent and bus travel times up by between 15 and 31 percent, so success is unquestionable."
Pretty unquestionable.

"However, if you actually read the report along with theannual bus ridership statistics (which is available independent from the SBS statistics)you will arrive at a totally different conclusion, that not only has the B44 SBS been afailure,"
Nah, no statistics demonstrate anything but a tremendous success overall.

"but the entire SBS program has largely failed with the possible exception of the Bx12, Bx44 and M86."
And M34/A and M15, and Q44 and M60 and BX41 etc. It is an unmistakable success all around.

"M15The MTA has been harping on the statistic that M15 (First and Second Avenue) ridership is up by 9 percent using that as justification to further expand the SBS program. All this time they have been referring to first year ridership results for 2011."
Yes, because THOSE ARE THE NUMBERS WHICH TELL YOU HOW SBS IS AFFECTING RIDERSHIP.

"For the past three years straight, M15 SBS ridership has declined and today it is 9.4 percent lower than it was before SBS started, failing to reverse the decline in citywide bus ridership during the past ten years when subway ridership has been skyrocketing."
Which has nothing to do with SBS.
A. Ridership is falling all around.
B. The M15 has a tremendous amount of construction affecting it.

"MTA proponents have repeatedly stated that the only statistics that matter are what has happened during the first year and declines during following years are caused by other factors irrelevant to SBS."
Yes, because they understand what a variable is.

"You will see later why this is important.Before implementation in 2010, there were 16,070,271 M15 riders. (SBS started in October.) There were 17,424,366 riders in 2011. The ridership numbers for 2015 was 14,566,785 down 6.7 percent since 2014 or down 2,857,581 since 2011 (the first complete year of operation) or 16.4 percent. The borough average for non-express bus routes was down 4.7 percent since 2014and only by 12.1 percent since2011.So despite the MTA's claim of success, M15 has performed 25 percent worse than other Manhattan non-express bus routes after its initial first year and nearly 50 percent worse in the past year."
Which has nothing to do with SBS at all.

"These facts, however, have not prevented the MTA from continuing to claim the M15 is a success by looking only at first year ridership in 2011."
Yes. The MTA understands how numbers work.

"How Does This Affect the B44?So let us now return to the MTA's B44 statistics the MTA and DOT are harping on allegingsuccess. The first one is that SBS ridership is up by 10 percent."
For good reason! It clearly is a success. The numbers speak for themselves.

"This actually means as the MTA further explains, that 2015 ridership on the SBS portion of the route rose by 10 percent over 2014 ridership levels. The local, however, declined by four percent so the net ridership increase for the entire route is only sixpercent"
But the B44 Local is not what is being evaluated. 10 percent IS the rise for SBS. And lowering ridership of the local demonstrates what a success SBS is! The SBS is so successful that it is converting established local riders into SBS riders. That is a sign of SUCCESS, not failure!

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