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| COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US (1713164) | |
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Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by Jeff Rosen on Thu Apr 2 15:12:36 2020, in response to COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Mitch45 on Thu Apr 2 15:10:39 2020. That's more than 1 out of fifty!! |
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Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by Train Dude on Thu Apr 2 15:14:04 2020, in response to COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Mitch45 on Thu Apr 2 15:10:39 2020. Actually, that's not good news. I am not an expert on statistics but it seems that if we are testing more and identifying more cases but the death rate remains consistent then the actual number dying is going up. |
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Re: COVID-19 Recovery Rate is Still 4.4% in the US |
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Posted by Orange Blossom Special on Thu Apr 2 15:34:48 2020, in response to COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Mitch45 on Thu Apr 2 15:10:39 2020. 237,063 with 10,324 recovered officially.According to another top study, we're looking at a 1-2% death rate anyway. But I'm guessing if you are still being so binary about it, you haven't been symptomatic. Even if the death rate were 0, I had a cough like that once, you don't want it. The American Media failed you. |
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| (1713171) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by Kevin from Midwood on Thu Apr 2 15:35:08 2020, in response to COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Mitch45 on Thu Apr 2 15:10:39 2020. Though recovering in the hospital is a fate much preferable to death, with a ~20% hospitalization rate I see it as a 1 in 5 chance of going through something hellish. |
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| (1713179) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by AlM on Thu Apr 2 15:47:41 2020, in response to COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Mitch45 on Thu Apr 2 15:10:39 2020. Yes, as more people are infected more will die but I find it encouraging that the fatality rate has held steady.More die, but more less serious infections get discovered with more testing. So it roughly cancels out. The trouble is, of course, that 2% of 330 million is 6.6 million, which is an absolutely terrible number. So until we can get massive testing in place so that uninfected and recovered people go to work and sick people stay home, our economy is in terrible shape. And people continue to die and get permanently disabled. |
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| (1713187) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by Joe V on Thu Apr 2 16:16:48 2020, in response to COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Mitch45 on Thu Apr 2 15:10:39 2020. There is also lag time from date of detection to death. |
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| (1713188) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by JayZeeBMT on Thu Apr 2 16:22:01 2020, in response to Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Joe V on Thu Apr 2 16:16:48 2020. In a few cases, death occurs before detection. |
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| (1713191) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by Mitch45 on Thu Apr 2 16:39:32 2020, in response to Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Jeff Rosen on Thu Apr 2 15:12:36 2020. 2.3 percent is 2.3 fatalities out of every 100 infections.If there were only 100 infections, that number sounds bad, but when the higher numbers of infected come in, the 2.3 number gets smaller. By the time you get to 10,000 infected, the number of fatalities is "only" 230 but the number of survivors is 9,770. |
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| (1713193) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by Mitch45 on Thu Apr 2 16:43:22 2020, in response to Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Train Dude on Thu Apr 2 15:14:04 2020. In terms of pure nunbers, yes. But then again, the number of survivors goes up too, and at a much faster pace. That's how percentages work.If had 100 infected people, 2.3 of them would die and 97.7 would live. If you had 1000 infected people, 23 would die and 977 would live. If you had 10000 infected people, 230 would die and 9,700 would live. |
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| (1713196) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by Mitch45 on Thu Apr 2 16:46:58 2020, in response to Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Kevin from Midwood on Thu Apr 2 15:35:08 2020. As a lifelong asthma sufferer, I have had really bad cases of bronchitis where my lungs feel like they are filled with sand. When I was a kid, when I was sick it was sometimes so hard to draw a breath that the skin over my throat would contract and and sink into my neck. I could not breathe in any position but sitting up and even then it was hard.I really wonder how much worse a COVID-19 infection is. |
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| (1713197) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by AlM on Thu Apr 2 16:47:01 2020, in response to Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Mitch45 on Thu Apr 2 16:39:32 2020. It sounds bad no matter how many infections there are.Without social distancing, a vaccine, or an elaborate program of repeated testing to identify the infected and then isolate them from the uninfected, the US will have 300 million infections, which is "only" 6.9 million deaths. |
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| (1713200) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by AlM on Thu Apr 2 16:49:41 2020, in response to Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Mitch45 on Thu Apr 2 16:46:58 2020. As a lifelong asthma suffererYou MUST take isolation incredibly seriously until there is a vaccine. Otherwise you are very likely to be one of those deaths that is casually dismissed as "he was younger than the typical age but he had an existing condition." I would suggest you wear a mask whenever you go out, in addition to social distancing. It won't save you if you do something dumb or have bad luck, but it improves your odds. |
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| (1713203) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by Mitch45 on Thu Apr 2 17:01:30 2020, in response to Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by AlM on Thu Apr 2 16:49:41 2020. I haven't been as far as my sidewalk for 2 weeks. I ain't dumb. I was just wondering. |
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| (1713206) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by AlM on Thu Apr 2 17:05:36 2020, in response to Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Mitch45 on Thu Apr 2 17:01:30 2020. There are still food deliveries to be very careful with. |
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| (1713209) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by Joe V on Thu Apr 2 17:13:34 2020, in response to Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by JayZeeBMT on Thu Apr 2 16:22:01 2020. Yes, there are always outliers. But lag time averages to be about +11 days. |
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| (1713226) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by Orange Blossom Special on Thu Apr 2 18:31:47 2020, in response to Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Kevin from Midwood on Thu Apr 2 15:35:08 2020. +20 |
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| (1713227) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by Orange Blossom Special on Thu Apr 2 18:32:47 2020, in response to Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Joe V on Thu Apr 2 17:13:34 2020. Interesting average, it seems like it's 3-4 weeks I thought, unless that's counted from the moment of lockdown. |
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| (1713228) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by Orange Blossom Special on Thu Apr 2 18:33:50 2020, in response to Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by AlM on Thu Apr 2 15:47:41 2020. I used to be afraid of the prick test that I mysteriously had once as a kid for I don't know why, but I still remember it.The test you're talking about is so ugh, that I just will never go outside again. I'll wait for the painful prick test. That they can do as i'm passed out on the floor. |
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| (1713229) | |
Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US |
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Posted by Orange Blossom Special on Thu Apr 2 18:34:20 2020, in response to Re: COVID-19 Death Rate is Still 2.3% in the US, posted by Orange Blossom Special on Thu Apr 2 18:33:50 2020. clarification, finger prick when they start testing for antigens. Although this country will probably be last to do it. |
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