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Re: Sure hope the city preps for what's coming - LATEST CHARTS

Posted by SelkirkTMO on Fri Oct 2 01:58:40 2015, in response to Re: Sure hope the city preps for what's coming - LATEST CHARTS, posted by Wallyhorse on Fri Oct 2 01:48:07 2015.

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Yeah, NOAA has to average 6 different models, and every now and then one of the others is the right one. Not all that long ago, they were able to pretty fairly predict three days out. Now that computers are calling the shots, they're lucky to be accurate 12 HOURS out. :(

The Euro models are really good, especially with respect to summertime here. Not so great on the cusps. But one thing to ALWAYS remember, hurricanes are steered by the higher level atmospheric winds. They can shift easily and hurricanes, despite plotted models, can turn 80 in a couple of hours depending on what steering currents are aloft.

And if, like Sandy, they manage to cross a front to the other side, all bets are off. It's like that.

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