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(1828450)

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It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again

Posted by Orange Blossom Special on Thu May 13 22:06:00 2021

A1M is likely still in denial after the 90th post.
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An expert panel assembled by the trade association representing pollsters released preliminary findings that found the polling in last year's election was the most inaccurate political polling in 40 years. The polls overestimated support for Democratic candidate Joe Biden by almost 4 percentage points in the final two weeks of the campaign, the Wall Street Journal reported Thursday.

It was a larger error than in 2016, when the polling overestimated support for Hillary Clinton by 1.3 points and Donald Trump shocked the world by winning the Electoral College and the presidency.

In fact, the last time pollsters were this wrong was way back in 1980, when the polls failed to predict the size of Ronald Reagan's landslide victory over Jimmy Carter, who performed 6 percentage points worse than the polls predicted.

In 2020, support for Democrats was overstated "in every type of contest we looked at: the national popular vote, the state-level presidential vote as well as senatorial and gubernatorial elections,'' said Joshua D. Clinton, a professor of political science at Vanderbilt University who was the lead expert on the panel put together by the American Association for Public Opinion Research.

"This was true no matter how respondents were polled. It didn't matter whether you're doing online or telephone polls. A similar level of error was pervasive,'' said Clinton, who discussed the preliminary findings at the trade association's annual conference Wednesday.

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(1828516)

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Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again

Posted by Olog-hai on Fri May 14 14:29:15 2021, in response to It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again, posted by Orange Blossom Special on Thu May 13 22:06:00 2021.


The polls overestimated support for Democratic candidate Joe Biden by almost 4 percentage points in the final two weeks of the campaign Ö
So they admit the election was stolen.

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(1828520)

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Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again

Posted by Spider-Pig on Fri May 14 14:40:29 2021, in response to Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again, posted by Olog-hai on Fri May 14 14:29:15 2021.

Itís like you just have no sense of logic whatsoever.

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(1828523)

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Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again

Posted by Elkeeper on Fri May 14 14:54:00 2021, in response to It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again, posted by Orange Blossom Special on Thu May 13 22:06:00 2021.

Who cares?

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(1828545)

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Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again

Posted by AlM on Fri May 14 18:12:43 2021, in response to Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again, posted by Spider-Pig on Fri May 14 14:40:29 2021.

It's not just like that. It is that.



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(1828546)

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Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again

Posted by Spider-Pig on Fri May 14 18:14:42 2021, in response to Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again, posted by AlM on Fri May 14 18:12:43 2021.

ďLikeĒ is just like, you know, like, a common, like, interjection.

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(1828562)

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Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again

Posted by Olog-hai on Fri May 14 20:10:37 2021, in response to Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again, posted by Olog-hai on Fri May 14 14:29:15 2021.

No replies, I see.

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(1828563)

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Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again

Posted by AlM on Fri May 14 20:26:29 2021, in response to Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again, posted by Olog-hai on Fri May 14 20:10:37 2021.

Why do you keep on lying?



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(1828565)

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Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again

Posted by Spider-Pig on Fri May 14 21:19:24 2021, in response to Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again, posted by AlM on Fri May 14 20:26:29 2021.

Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery. Too bad his Lord and Savior isnít aware of his work.

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(1828604)

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Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again

Posted by Jeff Rosen on Sat May 15 10:15:24 2021, in response to Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again, posted by Olog-hai on Fri May 14 20:10:37 2021.

Doesn't that tell you anything?

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(1828607)

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Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again

Posted by mtk52983 on Sat May 15 11:01:30 2021, in response to Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again, posted by Olog-hai on Fri May 14 14:29:15 2021.

If the election was stolen it would have gone the opposite way - with Biden and down ticket Democrats outperforming the polls.

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(1828611)

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Re: Itís been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again

Posted by Olog-hai on Sat May 15 12:14:58 2021, in response to Re: It's been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again, posted by Olog-hai on Fri May 14 20:10:37 2021.

Still no replies . . .

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(1828612)

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Re: Itís been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again

Posted by AlM on Sat May 15 12:31:15 2021, in response to Re: Itís been a while since I posted about the 2020 polling bloodbath, so here we are again, posted by Olog-hai on Sat May 15 12:14:58 2021.

Still no truth from you. Just because you don't appreciate the replies doesn't mean they don't exist.

And you still haven't answered my genuine question in the other thread where you falsely claim there are no replies.


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