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Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by Dave on Tue Dec 10 07:07:31 2019

Fears about the economy have quieted, and impeachment hasn’t been the body blow Democrats were hoping for.


For a guy who’s about to be impeached, President Trump is looking like he’s in better and better shape to be reelected.

A year ago, the Federal Reserve was about to make its fourth interest rate hike. Stock markets were plummeting. Trump had just declared himself “Tariff Man,” and the Mueller Report still seemed like it might be a mortal threat to his presidency.

Six months ago, fears of a recession were rising, driven by worries about Trump’s trade war and the effect it was having on jobs and economic growth.

Today, things don’t seem nearly so bad. Friday’s blockbuster jobs report showed that 266,000 jobs were added last month and unemployment fell to 3.5%, trouncing even the most bullish forecasts and sending the S&P 500 soaring near another record high—of which there have been 26 this year.

The economy appears to be in a much better place than experts feared: good news for an incumbent president heading into an election year. In its analysis of the November jobs report, Bloomberg Economics lowered its projection of 2020 year-end unemployment to an astounding 3.3 percent and forecast “U.S. Election Day Unemployment to Be Lowest Since ’52.” A rate that low will surely get a few mentions at Trump rallies.

Although growth is still slowing, most forecasts have improved. A recession no longer seems likely. Gallup’s latest poll found that 55 percent of respondents rate economic conditions as “excellent” or “good.” Trump is still threatening new tariffs, last week on Argentina and Brazil, and he hasn’t yet closed the “phase one” trade deal with China. But even though an agreement is far from certain, the markets seem to think that the two sides are inching closer. On Friday, Bloomberg News reported that China is in the process of waiving retaliatory tariffs on imports of U.S. pork and soy, a sign that hostilities may be ebbing.

Trump’s superpower is to polarize absolutely everything—it’s the key to his political survival. That’s how he got through the Mueller Report without incurring any meaningful Republican defections. Currently, there’s no reason to think he won’t be able to pull the same trick when the House and Senate vote on impeachment. So far, his poll numbers have barely budged.

As with everything Trump-related, caveats are in order: Trump is volatile and can blow up anything, anytime with a tweet. Positive trade sentiment could quickly turn negative if, for instance, the U.S. were to impose his threatened Dec. 15 tariffs on a new round of Chinese goods. The impeachment inquiry could theoretically produce information that shifts public opinion against him. And the economy still shows weaknesses—in manufacturing, in Upper Midwest job growth—that could worsen and hurt him at the ballot box in key electoral states.

Trump is a serial exaggerator of his own popularity, and even his polling strength with Republicans masks doubts about his honesty. Per FiveThirtyEight, Trump’s approval rating (41.6%) is the lowest of any president at this point in his term. But the second-worst-polling president is Barack Obama, who handily won reelection in 2012, and whose party gained seats in the Senate.

Even amid a litter of polls highlighting Trump’s unpopularity relative to other recent presidents, he appears to be trending in the right direction in the places that matter most. In Wisconsin, which many political analysts expect to be the tipping point state in the 2020 presidential election, the latest poll from Marquette University Law School shows opinion moving toward Trump both on the matter of impeachment and in head-to-head matchups with the top Democratic hopefuls. In October, Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and Bernie Sanders were all leading Trump in Wisconsin. By late November, he had pulled ahead of all three and was beating Pete Buttigieg, too.

In politics, a year is a long time. Plenty can happen to turn a president’s fortunes around. But the latest economic data and polling numbers in states he needs to win reelection suggest the impeachment fight could end with Trump in better political shape than when it began.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-12-09/don-t-look-now-but-things-are-getting-brighter-for-trump?srnd=premium

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 07:33:02 2019, in response to Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by Dave on Tue Dec 10 07:07:31 2019.

The only "superpower" Trump actually has is his strange immunity from suffering the consequences of his actions like almost every other human being on this planet must. It's a unique ability that has held him aloof from the rules of society his entire life. That the economy is doing well is largely due to the fact that it was in good shape when he took office. Generally speaking, bull markets tend to be bull markets regardless of who is in the White House; it's when the economy goes bad that the President needs to have a strong hand on the tiller. We saw that at the beginning of Obama's presidency, when his careful handling of finance kept us from entering a second Great Depression.

As for Trump emerging better than he was before the impeachment, that might well be, because we all know the outcome of the Senate trial has already been predetermined by the GOP, which will put party before country and ignore the overwhelming evidence of Trump's criminal behavior. However, of the other three impeachments in American history, the party that brought the proceedings has always gone on to win the next general election. Impeachment, even for a Teflon Don like Trump, hurts the party whose incumbent is being impeached. The exposition of Trump's skulduggery will be very clearly spelled out in the Articles of Impeachment, for all the world to see. The Senate won't remove Trump from office, but enough voters might, once they realize just how malicious Trump really is, based on his own words.

Again, it is true that all his life, Trump has enjoyed immunity from punishment for things that would quickly land you or I on jail. But, that's a horrible thing for our young people to see--an American leader repeatedly rewarded for bad behavior. It runs against everything we learn in childhood. If Trump is acquitted by the Senate (a foregone conclusion), he will immediately trot out the victim card, his supporters will believe him, and he will go right back to soliciting other countries to help him interfere with the election. That will be worse than what he did before; our republican democracy will be over because our electoral process will have no integrity.

An emboldened, lame-duck Trump in his second term will be completely out of control. Only people going to the polls and voting Trump out will stop it from happening, as it is clear that the only Constitutional remedy for removing a negligent or malicious President outside of an election, is not functioning as intended by the Founders this time.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by BILLBKLYN on Tue Dec 10 07:49:10 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 07:33:02 2019.

4 more years of zany antics!

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 08:08:25 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by BILLBKLYN on Tue Dec 10 07:49:10 2019.

It's all fun and games until something Trump does affects you personally.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by bingbong on Tue Dec 10 08:54:45 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 08:08:25 2019.

And it will.

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Re: Things Are NOT Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by bingbong on Tue Dec 10 08:54:59 2019, in response to Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by Dave on Tue Dec 10 07:07:31 2019.

How old is this?

The majority of Americans support impeachment. Including a majority of Wisconsinites.

People are finally seeing his polarizing approach is the biggest problem with our politics.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by cortelyounext on Tue Dec 10 09:01:57 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by BILLBKLYN on Tue Dec 10 07:49:10 2019.

You owed Nathan more than five words and a number and a punctuation mark in response to his lengthy missive, notwithstanding that he big timed us by working in a exposition of skullduggery reference. I thought that was pretty good.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 09:06:23 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by cortelyounext on Tue Dec 10 09:01:57 2019.

Not to mention Trump's chicanery, racketeering, and malefaction, too!

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by cortelyounext on Tue Dec 10 09:08:00 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 09:06:23 2019.

Scott Kirby.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by BILLBKLYN on Tue Dec 10 09:12:20 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 08:08:25 2019.

NO president can.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by BILLBKLYN on Tue Dec 10 09:12:33 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by bingbong on Tue Dec 10 08:54:45 2019.

Nope!

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by bingbong on Tue Dec 10 09:24:17 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by BILLBKLYN on Tue Dec 10 09:12:33 2019.

Karma has a way of happening especially when you don't expect it.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by cortelyounext on Tue Dec 10 09:37:25 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by bingbong on Tue Dec 10 09:24:17 2019.

In honor of the word they, Merriam-Werbster's Word of the Year!

Karma

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by Train Dude on Tue Dec 10 09:41:06 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 07:33:02 2019.

Elections have consequences, Tinky. What happened to the "Bribery" charge?

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by Olog-hai on Tue Dec 10 09:50:32 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by Train Dude on Tue Dec 10 09:41:06 2019.

Nebulous "crimes" like "abuse of power" and "obstruction of Congress" is all they can come up with.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 09:51:02 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by Train Dude on Tue Dec 10 09:41:06 2019.

Bribery is included in Trump's abuses of power.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 09:54:48 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by Train Dude on Tue Dec 10 09:41:06 2019.

"It is an impeachable offense for the president to exercise the powers of his public office to obtain an improper personal benefit while ignoring or injuring the national interest. That is exactly what President Trump did when he solicited and pressured Ukraine to interfere in our 2020 presidential election."--Rep. Adam Schiff, summarizing the first article of impeachment against President Trump

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 10:15:08 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 07:33:02 2019.



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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 10:16:58 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by bingbong on Tue Dec 10 08:54:45 2019.



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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 10:17:37 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by bingbong on Tue Dec 10 09:24:17 2019.

Have always hated President Trump?

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by Train Dude on Tue Dec 10 10:23:21 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 09:54:48 2019.

But what about the Bribery charge you were so sure of. As for the two articles of impeachment, if they are voted on and do pass, even Alton Maddox could successfully defend against them.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by Train Dude on Tue Dec 10 10:24:20 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 09:51:02 2019.

LOL

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by Train Dude on Tue Dec 10 10:26:37 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by bingbong on Tue Dec 10 09:24:17 2019.

Especially for you, this time of year

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 10:32:02 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by Train Dude on Tue Dec 10 10:23:21 2019.

There is overwhelming evidence supporting both Articles of Impeachment. However, Republican senators have already decided the outcome of the Impeachment trial, despite this.

As for Trump's bribery, it is discussed in the first article. Abuse of power is sufficient to cover Trump's behavior. You go right ahead and keep defending the indefensible.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by Spider-Pig on Tue Dec 10 10:34:09 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 10:16:58 2019.

The trike is cute and the biker is a d-bag.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by Train Dude on Tue Dec 10 10:59:16 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 10:32:02 2019.

Oh, you mean that they already decided the outcome like Quiff, Nonads and the rest of the Democrat stooges decided to impeach this president even before he he was sworn in.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 11:02:42 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by Train Dude on Tue Dec 10 10:59:16 2019.

Trump was engaging in impeachable conduct, on live television in living color, before he was ever sworn in, something Democratic legal counsel Berke reminded everyone about yesterday, by playing the footage back.

The Democrats in Congress have shown extraordinary restraint in waiting this long to impeach Trump.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by Train Dude on Tue Dec 10 11:08:40 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by JayZeeBMT on Tue Dec 10 11:02:42 2019.

I'm sure and the stooges were so confident, that nadler had to lie about berke's status to prevent Republicans from questioning him in the kangaroo court. I can see why you are a democratic.

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Re: Things Are NOT Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by Dave on Tue Dec 10 11:26:14 2019, in response to Re: Things Are NOT Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by bingbong on Tue Dec 10 08:54:59 2019.

The article was bylined yesterday.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by bingbong on Tue Dec 10 11:48:54 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 10:17:37 2019.

I wouldn't characterize it as that. Never really cared about him, thought he was inept at business (how can the HOUSE go bankrupt?), a shallow lowlife as a person and a crook all his adult life. His first foray into business resulted in a major discrimination lawsuit, serious fines and defined him as a biased bigot. Knowing this history, I conclude he has no business whatsoever being in the White House.

We really need to put an end to his lawlessness.

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Re: Things Are NOT Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by bingbong on Tue Dec 10 11:52:01 2019, in response to Re: Things Are NOT Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by Dave on Tue Dec 10 11:26:14 2019.

Wasn't written then. The latest publicly released poll puts both national and Wisconsin specifically at 51% in support of impeachment.

https://civiqs.com/results/trump_impeachment?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by Train Dude on Tue Dec 10 11:52:53 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by bingbong on Tue Dec 10 11:48:54 2019.

Apparently you are not familiar with The Revel, formerly in Atlantic City or the Showboat, also in Atlantic City. I could cite a host of others but your point is ridiculous. You lose - I win.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:02:46 2019, in response to Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by Dave on Tue Dec 10 07:07:31 2019.

WHAT ABOUT THE GROWING HOMELESS ALL ACROSS AMERICA ?

WHAT DOES THIS HAVE TO DO WITH WORKING CLASS PEOPLE

WHY ARE FOOD STAMPS BEING CUT OFF BY TRUMP & CO ??

WHO IS BEING LEFT OUT OF THIS SO CALLED ''BRIGHTER & BETTER'' ??

WE KNOW THE WELL TO DO AND THE RICH ARE GETTING BETTER

SO WHAT ??????????????????????????????????????

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by cortelyounext on Tue Dec 10 12:03:57 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:02:46 2019.

So What?

Miles. YAY !!

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:06:09 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by cortelyounext on Tue Dec 10 12:03:57 2019.

HERE IS THE OFFICIAL VIDEO

MILES DAVIS !! SO WHAT !!!

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:09:05 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 10:15:08 2019.

ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:09:45 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by Spider-Pig on Tue Dec 10 10:34:09 2019.

IAWTP

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by cortelyounext on Tue Dec 10 12:11:05 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:06:09 2019.

Thank you, sir.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:11:46 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by cortelyounext on Tue Dec 10 12:11:05 2019.

YOU ARE WELCOME

ENJOY !!

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 12:22:33 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by bingbong on Tue Dec 10 11:48:54 2019.

OK , I don't agree with you, but I can understand and respect your opinion.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 12:24:33 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:09:05 2019.

figures

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by cortelyounext on Tue Dec 10 12:24:44 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by bingbong on Tue Dec 10 11:48:54 2019.

I agree with that last post.

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 12:24:48 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:09:45 2019.

figures

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by cortelyounext on Tue Dec 10 12:25:16 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 12:24:48 2019.

什么

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:33:37 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by cortelyounext on Tue Dec 10 12:25:16 2019.

IAWTP

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:33:47 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 12:24:48 2019.

TOO BAD

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:34:00 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 12:24:33 2019.

TOO BAD

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 13:12:28 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:33:37 2019.

What do you agree with. What did he say?

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 13:13:14 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:33:47 2019.

WHAT ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

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Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump

Posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Dec 10 13:13:36 2019, in response to Re: Don’t Look Now, But Things Are Getting Brighter for Trump, posted by https://salaamallah.com/ on Tue Dec 10 12:34:00 2019.

ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

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