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Re: Hillary Clinton

Posted by AlM on Sat Aug 18 13:23:50 2012, in response to Re: Hillary Clinton, posted by SLRT on Sat Aug 18 10:28:44 2012.

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Well, just speaking statistically, if any of your individual assumptions fails, the entire proposition fails.

Well, yes. In the 30% event that Mitt wins this year, the rest is irrelevant. That's why I multiply the probabilities. I am saying there's a 65% probability she won't be the 45th President.


This is probability theory, not statistics.



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