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Re: State Supreme Court rules against Coleman Re: Minnesota

Posted by Stephen Bauman on Wed Jan 7 14:49:51 2009, in response to Re: State Supreme Court rules against Coleman Re: Minnesota, posted by Charles G on Mon Jan 5 20:12:25 2009.

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1,713 votes were added in the recount. Those added votes broke 63/37 in favor of Franken. How statistically unlikely is it that the added votes would have a breakdown so skewed from the overall total without political meddling?

In order to answer that question, you would have to first determine the variability of individual precincts. If the overall 50/50 split were replicated in each of the election precincts, then that finding is very unlikely. However, if the overall 50/50 split were obtained by alternating precincts with 63/37 with one precinct going for Coleman and the next for Franken etc., then the result is quite likely.

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