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Re: Covid Isolation Duration to Prevent New Surge

Posted by ntrainride on Tue Dec 28 11:15:47 2021, in response to Re: Covid Isolation Duration to Prevent New Surge, posted by Stephen Bauman on Tue Dec 28 10:36:01 2021.

do you understand the value of data compression? do you understand how the underlying principles which make data compression efficient can be applied to other intellectual pursuits? do you understand the notion of "tipping points" as applied to data aquisition? do you understand the idea that excess data inevitably morph into random noise?

that's just a random sample of questions that must be asked when the listener is presented with unsubstantiated data in order to move forward with rational exchange of ideas.

beyond that what must be defined is how random sampling of events can be the genesis of assumed accurate measurements of a dynamic.

beyond that the question of whether there's any value in having humans attempt to actively affect the ultimately inevitable natural course of the dynamic has to be answered. then we can talk.

you cannot micromanage a macro trend. type all your jazz until your fingers are numb. charts and graphs and numbers. you still cannot micromanage a macro trend.

would you try to count how many raindrops fell from the sky if asked to predict flood damage from a storm?

you seem like a "smart" guy. so...

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