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| Re: Covid Isolation Duration to Prevent New Surge (1872021) | |||
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Re: Covid Isolation Duration to Prevent New Surge |
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Posted by Stephen Bauman on Mon Dec 27 21:04:46 2021, in response to Re: Covid Isolation Duration to Prevent New Surge, posted by AlM on Mon Dec 27 16:37:43 2021. Those numbers seem to argue for 6 days of quarantine. After 6 days, the reduction in missed cases per additional day of testing become much less.No sir. The problem is you cannot let any cases get out into the community. A single case will generate thousands cases in a community that was previously Covid free. Think back to the single Covid case of a man in New Rochelle in Feb 2020. He had the wild Covid, went to religious services in NYC and visited a school. It was the first case, they did excellent contact tracing. It led to over a hundred secondary cases. Fortunately, it was stopped at the secondary stage. Otherwise, it would have infected thousands. Delta is much more infectious. New Zealand's current problem is that they relaxed their border restrictions. They established a passport arrangement with Australia, which was also Covid free at that time. One person had an undetected case of the Delta variant and traveled in New Zealand without going through the 14 day isolation period. The first community case appeared in about 7 days of his arrival. That case would have been contained had this person gone through the 14 day isolation period. Despite going onto a nation-wide lockdown, there have been 10,670 community cases (and counting) traced back to that single incident. The basic problem with the Delta variant and even more with Omicron is that it rips through families in the home setting. It's just not safe to be allowed to spread in the community. There have been imported cases of the Omicron variant in New Zealand. They have been discovered during the 14 day isolation period and not spread into the community. |
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