Posted by
Stephen Bauman
on Sat Apr 20 15:46:05 2024, in response to Re: New Haven trains to Penn station, posted by AlM on Sat Apr 20 10:52:39 2024.
It has a minimal effect on total Penn traffic and a huge effect on East Bronx transportation services.
The effect on East Bronx transportation is equally minimal.
Here's what it looks like, within walking distance of the 4 proposed stations.
line | item | Current 2020 | New 2020 | Current 2010 | New 2010 | Current 2000 | New 2000 |
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1 | Study Area: Penn Station Access: Co-Op City Penn Station Access: Hunts Point Penn Station Access: Morris Park Penn Station Access: Parkchester-Van Nest | | | | | | | 2 | - Population | | | | | | | 3 | -- Total Population | 113,542 | | 105,699 | | 104,810 | | 4 | -- Total Population Average Distance To Subway | 0.367 | 0.244 | 0.367 | 0.243 | 0.370 | 0.249 | 5 | -- Total Population Median Distance To Subway | 0.340 | 0.239 | 0.345 | 0.239 | 0.345 | 0.239 | 6 | -- Population %-Tile Distances To Subway | | | | | | | 7 | -- 5%-Tile | 0.087 | 0.079 | 0.087 | 0.076 | 0.089 | 0.087 | 8 | -- 10%-Tile | 0.110 | 0.100 | 0.110 | 0.100 | 0.113 | 0.099 | 9 | -- 15%-Tile | 0.126 | 0.119 | 0.127 | 0.119 | 0.136 | 0.116 | 10 | -- 20%-Tile | 0.157 | 0.133 | 0.157 | 0.133 | 0.175 | 0.136 | 11 | -- 25%-Tile | 0.187 | 0.152 | 0.187 | 0.139 | 0.197 | 0.165 | 12 | -- 30%-Tile | 0.216 | 0.175 | 0.212 | 0.157 | 0.223 | 0.188 | 13 | -- 35%-Tile | 0.246 | 0.189 | 0.246 | 0.185 | 0.228 | 0.208 | 14 | -- 40%-Tile | 0.280 | 0.202 | 0.284 | 0.198 | 0.289 | 0.224 | 15 | -- 45%-Tile | 0.313 | 0.218 | 0.313 | 0.214 | 0.331 | 0.225 | 16 | -- 50%-Tile | 0.340 | 0.239 | 0.345 | 0.239 | 0.345 | 0.239 | 17 | -- 55%-Tile | 0.376 | 0.260 | 0.376 | 0.262 | 0.392 | 0.260 | 18 | -- 60%-Tile | 0.398 | 0.280 | 0.404 | 0.279 | 0.392 | 0.284 | 19 | -- 65%-Tile | 0.429 | 0.292 | 0.429 | 0.295 | 0.424 | 0.284 | 20 | -- 70%-Tile | 0.462 | 0.305 | 0.465 | 0.308 | 0.440 | 0.301 | 21 | -- 75%-Tile | 0.478 | 0.331 | 0.473 | 0.331 | 0.506 | 0.327 | 22 | -- 80%-Tile | 0.531 | 0.340 | 0.531 | 0.341 | 0.563 | 0.345 | 23 | -- 85%-Tile | 0.580 | 0.371 | 0.570 | 0.364 | 0.573 | 0.367 | 24 | -- 90%-Tile | 0.683 | 0.401 | 0.670 | 0.395 | 0.670 | 0.385 | 25 | -- 95%-Tile | 0.847 | 0.434 | 0.829 | 0.437 | 0.841 | 0.439 | 26 | -- 100%-Tile | 0.957 | 0.497 | 0.993 | 0.497 | 0.895 | 0.499 | 27 | -- Total Within Walk To Subway Distance | 87,451 | 113,542 | 80,744 | 105,699 | 78,166 | 104,810 | 28 | --- Difference | | 26,644 | | 26,644 | | 26,644 | 29 | -- % of Total Population Within Walk To Subway Distance | 77.02% | 100.00% | 76.39% | 100.00% | 74.58% | 100.00% | 30 | -- Total Beyond Walk To Subway Distance | 26,091 | 0 | 24,955 | 0 | 26,644 | 0 | 31 | --- Difference | | -26,644 | | -26,644 | | -26,644 | 32 | -- % of Total Population Beyond Walk To Subway Distance | 22.98% | 0.00% | 23.61% | 0.00% | 25.42% | 0.00% | 33 | -- Beyond Walking Distance to Subway Population: Average Distance | 0.687 | nan | 0.678 | nan | 0.668 | nan | 34 | -- Beyond Walking Distance to Subway Population: Median Distance | 0.664 | nan | 0.652 | nan | 0.654 | nan |
Of the 114K people who live within 1/2 mile walking distance of one of the 4 proposed stations, 77% already live within walking distance of an existing subway station. This leaves only 27K people who will gain walk to rail access. It's also important to discover how much the walk to rail distance will be reduced for the 27K. That's shown in the percentile figures for non-walkers. There isn't much gain because the longest distance is less than a mile.
Here's a station-by-station breakdown of the "huge effect".
line | item | Current 2020 | New 2020 | Current 2010 | New 2010 | Current 2000 | New 2000 |
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1 | Study Area: Penn Station Access: Co-Op City | | | | | | | 2 | - Population | | | | | | | 3 | -- Total Population | 12,310 | | 11,700 | | 11,410 | | 4 | -- Total Population Average Distance To Subway | 0.749 | 0.282 | 0.745 | 0.290 | 0.727 | 0.271 | 5 | -- Total Population Median Distance To Subway | 0.789 | 0.292 | 0.828 | 0.322 | 0.841 | 0.284 | 6 | -- Total Beyond Walk To Subway Distance | 11,107 | 0 | 10,670 | 0 | 10,298 | 0 | 7 | --- Difference | | -10,298 | | -10,298 | | -10,298 | 8 | -- % of Total Population Beyond Walk To Subway Distance | 90.23% | 0.00% | 91.20% | 0.00% | 90.25% | 0.00% | 9 | -- Beyond Walking Distance to Subway Population: Average Distance | 0.812 | nan | 0.800 | nan | 0.787 | nan | 10 | -- Beyond Walking Distance to Subway Population: Median Distance | 0.847 | nan | 0.828 | nan | 0.841 | nan | | | | | | | | | 11 | Study Area: Penn Station Access: Hunts Point | | | | | | | 13 | - Population | | | | | | | 14 | -- Total Population | 36,341 | | 35,448 | | 33,921 | | 15 | -- Total Population Average Distance To Subway | 0.189 | 0.169 | 0.192 | 0.170 | 0.193 | 0.172 | 16 | -- Total Population Median Distance To Subway | 0.155 | 0.133 | 0.155 | 0.133 | 0.157 | 0.136 | 17 | -- Total Beyond Walk To Subway Distance | 1,081 | 0 | 1,064 | 0 | 1,056 | 0 | 18 | --- Difference | | -1,056 | | -1,056 | | -1,056 | 19 | -- % of Total Population Beyond Walk To Subway Distance | 2.97% | 0.00% | 3.00% | 0.00% | 3.11% | 0.00% | 20 | -- Beyond Walking Distance to Subway Population: Average Distance | 0.535 | nan | 0.533 | nan | 0.534 | nan | 21 | -- Beyond Walking Distance to Subway Population: Median Distance | 0.549 | nan | 0.508 | nan | 0.518 | nan | | | | | | | | | 22 | Study Area: Penn Station Access: Morris Park | | | | | | | 24 | - Population | | | | | | | 25 | -- Total Population | 9,073 | | 8,275 | | 10,079 | | 26 | -- Total Population Average Distance To Subway | 0.544 | 0.340 | 0.536 | 0.340 | 0.538 | 0.330 | 27 | -- Total Population Median Distance To Subway | 0.601 | 0.343 | 0.573 | 0.332 | 0.573 | 0.316 | 28 | -- Total Beyond Walk To Subway Distance | 6,262 | 0 | 5,705 | 0 | 7,078 | 0 | 29 | --- Difference | | -7,078 | | -7,078 | | -7,078 | 30 | -- % of Total Population Beyond Walk To Subway Distance | 69.02% | 0.00% | 68.94% | 0.00% | 70.23% | 0.00% | 31 | -- Beyond Walking Distance to Subway Population: Average Distance | 0.637 | nan | 0.625 | nan | 0.619 | nan | 32 | -- Beyond Walking Distance to Subway Population: Median Distance | 0.636 | nan | 0.614 | nan | 0.573 | nan | | | | | | | | | 33 | Study Area: Penn Station Access: Parkchester-Van Nest | | | | | | | 35 | - Population | | | | | | | 36 | -- Total Population | 55,818 | | 50,276 | | 49,400 | | 37 | -- Total Population Average Distance To Subway | 0.370 | 0.268 | 0.374 | 0.266 | 0.375 | 0.279 | 38 | -- Total Population Median Distance To Subway | 0.371 | 0.278 | 0.376 | 0.278 | 0.390 | 0.258 | 39 | -- Total Beyond Walk To Subway Distance | 7,641 | 0 | 7,516 | 0 | 8,212 | 0 | 40 | --- Difference | | -8,212 | | -8,212 | | -8,212 | 41 | -- % of Total Population Beyond Walk To Subway Distance | 13.69% | 0.00% | 14.95% | 0.00% | 16.62% | 0.00% | 42 | -- Beyond Walking Distance to Subway Population: Average Distance | 0.568 | nan | 0.564 | nan | 0.577 | nan | 43 | -- Beyond Walking Distance to Subway Population: Median Distance | 0.559 | nan | 0.540 | nan | 0.563 | nan |
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