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Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place

Posted by Dan on Sat May 26 17:18:53 2012

fiogf49gjkf0d
Interesting article, but a bit misleading I think. Comparing suburban middle-class areas to wealthy urban areas is not an fair comparison.
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Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place
By CHRISTOPHER B. LEINBERGER

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/27/opinion/sunday/now-coveted-a-walkable-convenient-place.html?ref=opinion



WALKING isn’t just good for you. It has become an indicator of your socioeconomic status.

Until the 1990s, exclusive suburban homes that were accessible only by car cost more, per square foot, than other kinds of American housing. Now, however, these suburbs have become overbuilt, and housing values have fallen. Today, the most valuable real estate lies in walkable urban locations. Many of these now pricey places were slums just 30 years ago.

Mariela Alfonzo and I just released a Brookings Institution study that measures values of commercial and residential real estate in the Washington, D.C., metropolitan area, which includes the surrounding suburbs in Virginia and Maryland. Our research shows that real estate values increase as neighborhoods became more walkable, where everyday needs, including working, can be met by walking, transit or biking. There is a five-step “ladder” of walkability, from least to most walkable. On average, each step up the walkability ladder adds $9 per square foot to annual office rents, $7 per square foot to retail rents, more than $300 per month to apartment rents and nearly $82 per square foot to home values.

As a neighborhood moves up each step of the five-step walkability ladder, the average household income of those who live there increases some $10,000. People who live in more walkable places tend to earn more, but they also tend to pay a higher percentage of their income for housing.

Although we have not studied all urban areas to the same degree, these findings appear to apply to much of the rest of the country. In metropolitan Seattle in 1996, the suburban Redmond area, home to Microsoft, had the same price per square foot as Capitol Hill, a walkable area adjacent to downtown, based on data from Zillow. Today, Capitol Hill is valued nearly 50 percent above Redmond.

In Columbus, Ohio, the highest housing values recorded by Zillow in 1996 were in the suburb of Worthington, where prices were 135 percent higher than in the struggling neighborhood of Short North, adjacent to the city’s center. Today, Short North housing values are 30 percent higher than those of Worthington, and downtown Columbus has the highest housing values in that metropolitan area.

In the Denver area, Highlands Ranch, an upscale, master-planned community 20 miles south of downtown, had housing in 1996 that cost on average 21 percent more than housing in Highlands, a troubled neighborhood adjacent to downtown Denver. Today, Highlands has a 67 percent price premium over Highlands Ranch.

People are clearly willing to pay more for homes that allow them to walk rather than drive. Biking is part of the picture, too. Biking and walking are part of a “complete streets” strategy that public rights of way should be for all of society — not just cars.

The rise in bike-sharing systems in Minneapolis, metropolitan Washington, and soon New York City makes it possible to imagine a future in which a third of a city’s population gets around primarily by bicycle. The popular Web site Walk Score has just added Bike Score to let people know which neighborhoods are most bikable.

Demand for walkable urban space extends beyond city centers to suburbs; in metropolitan Washington, more than half of the walkable places are in the suburbs, like Reston Town Center, 22 miles from downtown Washington; Ballston, in Arlington County; and Silver Spring, in suburban Maryland. Residents can easily get to grocery stores, cafes, libraries and work by rail transit, biking and walking.

Why is there an urbanization of the suburbs? Some baby boomers want to sell their large suburban houses and move to a walkable urban place but stay close to friends and family. Young families want the advantages of walkable urban life but also high-quality suburban schools. This trend is about both the revitalization of center cities and the urbanization of the suburbs.

To address the affordability challenge, a sensible strategy would include changes like zoning that allows homes with units in the back or over the garage. But the long-term solution is encouraging the building of more walkable places, which will reduce the price premiums by creating more supply.

(Disclosure: I am the president of Locus, a coalition of real estate developers and investors, and a project of Smart Growth America, which supports walkable neighborhoods and transit-oriented development.)

Different infrastructure needs to be built, including rail transit and paths for walking and biking. Some research has shown that walkable urban infrastructure is substantially cheaper on a usable square foot basis than spread-out drivable suburban infrastructure; the infrastructure is used much more extensively in a small area, resulting in much lower costs per usable square foot.

It’s important that developers and their investors learn how to build places that integrate many different uses within walking distance. Building walkable urban places is more complex and riskier than following decades-long patterns of suburban construction. But the market gets what it wants, and the market signals are flashing pretty brightly: build more walkable, and bikable, places.

A professor at the George Washington University School of Business and a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution.

A version of this op-ed appeared in print on May 27, 2012, on page SR6 of the National edition with the headline: Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place.

© 2012 The New York Times Company


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Re: Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place

Posted by Easy on Sat May 26 18:14:31 2012, in response to Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place, posted by Dan on Sat May 26 17:18:53 2012.

fiogf49gjkf0d
How is it misleading? They are comparing suburban areas that were higher in price compared to nearby urban areas a few years ago and are now lower. That those urban areas are gentrifying and becoming more expensive while the suburban areas are losing value is the entire point of the article, isn't it?

And the author is correct and it's been made possible because today's younger generation is having kids later or not at all, and then having fewer kids. No kids makes city living much easier. And that seems to be the trend for the foreseeable future. Not that the suburbs will die out, but people will have a choice and even the suburban areas will become more dense and walkable.

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Re: Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place

Posted by Dan on Sat May 26 18:50:01 2012, in response to Re: Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place, posted by Easy on Sat May 26 18:14:31 2012.

fiogf49gjkf0d
It's like comparing a middle-class suburb like Cranford, NJ to a upper-class area like Greenwich Village. Different housing markets entirely.

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Re: Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place

Posted by WillD on Sun May 27 02:19:21 2012, in response to Re: Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place, posted by Dan on Sat May 26 18:50:01 2012.

fiogf49gjkf0d
Except it's not. In fact the comparisons drawn in the article are the complete opposite of the strawman you've conjured to dismiss it. The article sets up several comparisons within the same MSA in which the prices for suburban houses were higher than those for in urban areas 15 years ago, but the situation today has reversed itself. In that case they wouldn't compare Greenwich Village with any suburban area because demand has been high in Manhattan for the past few decades. The article says nothing as to the income of the people inhabiting those dwellings, only to the price of the houses within the community.

This is of course slightly problematic as the suburban communities with higher prices 15 years ago were likely the result of desirability in the face of relatively low energy prices. To that end those suburban communities likely had their real estate values inflated by the pseudo-subsidization created by the adjustable rate mortgage and thus the comparison is slightly unfair. Furthermore, the cost of housing may not be a reliable indicator of the income, particularly in the ARM's reign of terror, because people were buying far more house than they could afford. It may well be that Redmond, WA and Capitol Hill in Seattle had the same price per square foot for real estate, but it's possible (and IMHO, likely) the people buying in Capitol Hill were living more within their means, and thus earning slightly more, than those purchasing suburban McMansions on ARMs while chasing raises, options, and promotions to afford the balloon payments..

But despite those problems drawing conclusions from the study, it cannot be denied that some urban areas, reviled and written off less than 20 years ago, as well as transit oriented and walkable suburban areas, are making a definite comeback and now commanding higher real estate prices than previously desirable car oriented suburban communities. Whether this is due to a reduction in real wage value and a desire to reduce property tax burden, an unwillingness to purchase (or, for the banks, lend) more than the homeowner can afford at the time of purchase, because energy prices are so high, or some combination of these factors or some additional elements remains to be seen.

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Re: Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place

Posted by Fred G on Sun May 27 08:43:36 2012, in response to Re: Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place, posted by Dan on Sat May 26 18:50:01 2012.

fiogf49gjkf0d
You have the comparison idea down but you're missing the span of time. It's more like comparing Smithtown and Long Island City, both 20 years ago and now.

your pal,
Fred

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Re: Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place

Posted by AlM on Sun May 27 14:28:14 2012, in response to Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place, posted by Dan on Sat May 26 17:18:53 2012.

fiogf49gjkf0d
And among suburban areas, often the ones that get the highest prices are the ones near the railroad stations (not if it's a dump, but if that's a pricey neighborhood to begin with, it become especially pricey).



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Re: Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place

Posted by GP38/R42 Chris on Sun May 27 18:11:57 2012, in response to Re: Now Coveted: A Walkable, Convenient Place, posted by AlM on Sun May 27 14:28:14 2012.

fiogf49gjkf0d
I dunno, I can think of many pricey neighborhoods where the values are lower by the train station. All the Babylon Branch stations, including Babylon. Sayville, Oakdale, Port Jefferson....the list goes on. Those are just a few off the top of my head quick.

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