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(2003993)

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Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Spider-Pig on Sat Nov 2 20:07:44 2024

Harris 47%
T**** 44%

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(2004001)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by AlM on Sat Nov 2 20:24:37 2024, in response to Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Spider-Pig on Sat Nov 2 20:07:44 2024.

WTF?

Selzer is known for its reliability.

Maybe everyone else is really overcorrecting for their prior Trump undercounts. One can only hope.





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(2004003)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Spider-Pig on Sat Nov 2 20:38:16 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by AlM on Sat Nov 2 20:24:37 2024.

Selzer didn’t undercount T**** in ’16 or ’20.

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(2004004)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by AlM on Sat Nov 2 20:52:55 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Spider-Pig on Sat Nov 2 20:38:16 2024.

As I said, one can only hope she hasn't done so this time.

It's definitely good news.



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(2004005)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Chicagomotorman on Sat Nov 2 20:54:30 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by AlM on Sat Nov 2 20:52:55 2024.

Fuck you

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(2004006)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Train Dude on Sat Nov 2 21:05:43 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by AlM on Sat Nov 2 20:52:55 2024.

Frick and frack running their act

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(2004007)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by AlM on Sat Nov 2 21:15:27 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Chicagomotorman on Sat Nov 2 20:54:30 2024.

Huh?

Are you getting too emotionally attached to your furor?



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(2004010)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Spider-Pig on Sat Nov 2 21:20:32 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by AlM on Sat Nov 2 21:15:27 2024.

LOL! I like it.

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(2004011)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Spider-Pig on Sat Nov 2 21:21:11 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Chicagomotorman on Sat Nov 2 20:54:30 2024.

Don’t count your chickens after they die.

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(2004014)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by BILLBKLYN on Sat Nov 2 22:03:13 2024, in response to Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Spider-Pig on Sat Nov 2 20:07:44 2024.

Let's see if this ages well. My opinion says it doesn't. I feel bad for Harris and Biden, as the Democrats, Looney Left, the Radicals, etc.. are going to turn on them with a quickness after Tuesday night. The Monday morning quarterbacking, the hand wringing, the finger pointing, etc..

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(2004019)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Orange Blossom Special on Sat Nov 2 23:08:03 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by BILLBKLYN on Sat Nov 2 22:03:13 2024.

They're already descending into infighting and CYA.

47%. I remember when the brain trust here called that a majority.
What was it called again? An edict?

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(2004023)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Orange Blossom Special on Sat Nov 2 23:18:16 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Spider-Pig on Sat Nov 2 21:20:32 2024.

The two posters responsible for almost as many deaths as Hitler is still calling others hitler.
Where's justice when you need it?

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(2004027)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Spider-Pig on Sat Nov 2 23:37:15 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by BILLBKLYN on Sat Nov 2 22:03:13 2024.

You really have no idea who Ann Selzer is.

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(2004029)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Train Dude on Sat Nov 2 23:38:11 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Spider-Pig on Sat Nov 2 23:37:15 2024.

I know her sister, alka.

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(2004032)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by mtk52983 on Sat Nov 2 23:42:09 2024, in response to Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Spider-Pig on Sat Nov 2 20:07:44 2024.



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(2004041)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll?

Posted by Olog-hai on Sun Nov 3 00:22:22 2024, in response to Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Spider-Pig on Sat Nov 2 20:07:44 2024.

LOL another fake poll.

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(2004043)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Chicagomotorman on Sun Nov 3 00:39:08 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by mtk52983 on Sat Nov 2 23:42:09 2024.

LOL. Good one

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(2004044)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Chicagomotorman on Sun Nov 3 00:40:10 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Train Dude on Sat Nov 2 23:38:11 2024.

LOL, And little brother Bromo.

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(2004046)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by BILLBKLYN on Sun Nov 3 01:10:21 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Spider-Pig on Sat Nov 2 23:37:15 2024.

I read up on the poll, so yes. Again, just opinions, and she's in the minority.

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(2004047)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by BILLBKLYN on Sun Nov 3 01:11:14 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Train Dude on Sat Nov 2 23:38:11 2024.

Her brother plays guitar and sings for the Stray Cats

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(2004054)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Spider-Pig on Sun Nov 3 09:12:56 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by BILLBKLYN on Sun Nov 3 01:10:21 2024.

The other polls are rigged for Trump; she was the one “brave” though to publish her outlier.

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(2004055)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by AlM on Sun Nov 3 09:23:33 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Spider-Pig on Sun Nov 3 09:12:56 2024.

Let's not get too smug. She's had her off moments.

- Off 3 for 2020 Senate
- Off 5 for 2018 Governor

Link

But still, even off 5 would be great news, because Iowa is fairly well correlated with WI, MI, and PA, but more R-leaning.




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(2004056)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Spider-Pig on Sun Nov 3 10:07:44 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by AlM on Sun Nov 3 09:23:33 2024.

I don’t think Harris is winning iOwa, but those of us waiting for this poll know that even a Trump +4 would have been a good sign for Harris.

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(2004057)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by AlM on Sun Nov 3 10:11:08 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Spider-Pig on Sun Nov 3 10:07:44 2024.

Agreed.

Based on this poll, I am hopeful for Harris winning all the electoral votes that Biden won, plus NC and northern ME.

But that doesn't mean I feel in the slightest bit comfortable about the outcome.



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(2004059)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Spider-Pig on Sun Nov 3 10:28:57 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by AlM on Sun Nov 3 10:11:08 2024.

Absolutely IAWTP.

Although Blorida and Blexas would be useful for Senate purposes.

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(2004063)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by BILLBKLYN on Sun Nov 3 11:21:53 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Spider-Pig on Sun Nov 3 09:12:56 2024.

Now you sound like those "Trumpers"!

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(2004064)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Spider-Pig on Sun Nov 3 11:32:11 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by BILLBKLYN on Sun Nov 3 11:21:53 2024.

Not surprising, since they’re all about projection, they end up sounding like me!

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(2004066)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by BILLBKLYN on Sun Nov 3 11:44:21 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Spider-Pig on Sun Nov 3 11:32:11 2024.

Honestly, this whole thing is a toss up.

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(2004069)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by AlM on Sun Nov 3 12:19:13 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Spider-Pig on Sun Nov 3 10:28:57 2024.

Yeah, WV is lost for the Senate. So D/I needs 2 out of MT, NE, FL, and TX, which is a long shot for sure.



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(2004075)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by Spider-Pig on Sun Nov 3 12:43:19 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by AlM on Sun Nov 3 12:19:13 2024.

You didn’t include Ohio. If Ohio stays D, then Dems only need one.

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(2004093)

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Re: Selzer iOwa poll

Posted by AlM on Sun Nov 3 14:56:16 2024, in response to Re: Selzer iOwa poll, posted by Spider-Pig on Sun Nov 3 12:43:19 2024.

OK, I was wrong. I was assuming OH and NV stay blue, in which case they only need 1 of those long shots.

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