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Fear of a recession

Posted by TransitChuckG on Thu Feb 14 16:40:33 2019

Stocks turn lower today

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by bingbong on Thu Feb 14 17:00:10 2019, in response to Fear of a recession, posted by TransitChuckG on Thu Feb 14 16:40:33 2019.

The signs are there.

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by Henry R32 #3730 on Thu Feb 14 22:51:50 2019, in response to Fear of a recession, posted by TransitChuckG on Thu Feb 14 16:40:33 2019.

The boom-recession cycle typically runs in 7(ish) year spurts. 2008 recession ran to 2016, this boom started, will most likely end in 2023.

As for political effects on such things, I think that while politics can effect how bullish / bearish the market is, the overall direction cannot be changed.

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by bingbong on Fri Feb 15 10:16:20 2019, in response to Re: Fear of a recession, posted by Henry R32 #3730 on Thu Feb 14 22:51:50 2019.

Thing is, you're wrong. We've had steady slow, actual growth since 2010. Probably would have continued (witness 2017, when trump did nothing economically until the very end) had he acted as he did in 2017(not), but he did a stupid needless tax cut and then trade wars and now everything's disrupted.

Throughout 2018, the signs things were falling apart began in the first quarter and now they're here. Basically trump tossed a perfectly good economy. Some "businessman".

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(1601163)

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by TRAIN DUDE on Fri Feb 15 10:19:41 2019, in response to Re: Fear of a recession, posted by bingbong on Fri Feb 15 10:16:20 2019.

Did they move Charlottesville to Oklahoma? Given your overt stupidity, why would anyone take anything you have to say, seriously. You are a dolt.

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by BILLBKLYN on Fri Feb 15 22:43:15 2019, in response to Re: Fear of a recession, posted by bingbong on Fri Feb 15 10:16:20 2019.

I guess you don't follow the stock market, do you?

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by bingbong on Fri Feb 15 23:13:47 2019, in response to Re: Fear of a recession, posted by BILLBKLYN on Fri Feb 15 22:43:15 2019.

Yes, I do. Been one mighty unstable year.

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by BILLBKLYN on Sat Feb 16 06:17:12 2019, in response to Re: Fear of a recession, posted by bingbong on Fri Feb 15 23:13:47 2019.

It's already corrected.

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by AlM on Sat Feb 16 06:39:06 2019, in response to Re: Fear of a recession, posted by BILLBKLYN on Sat Feb 16 06:17:12 2019.

S&P 500 on 9/21/2018: 2930.
On 2/15/2019: 2776.

Down 154, or 5%.

PS. I don't think that is a problem. Just correcting your statement.


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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by BILLBKLYN on Sat Feb 16 06:47:15 2019, in response to Re: Fear of a recession, posted by AlM on Sat Feb 16 06:39:06 2019.

I am talking not in a yearly basis, I'm talkin about when it took a dip in December

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by Dave on Sat Feb 16 10:25:08 2019, in response to Re: Fear of a recession, posted by BILLBKLYN on Sat Feb 16 06:17:12 2019.

You're confusing the stock market with the overall economy. The economy is showing signs of slowing down. Case in point: For the week ending Feb. 9, total U.S. weekly rail traffic was 519,779 carloads and intermodal units, up 0.1% compared with the same week last year. Total carloads were 242,266, down 3.3% compared with the same week in 2018. Only three of the 10 carload commodity groups posted an increase compared with the same week in 2018.

Carloads and intermodal units are an early warning sign into the state of the economy.




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(1601596)

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by bingbong on Sat Feb 16 10:36:14 2019, in response to Re: Fear of a recession, posted by Dave on Sat Feb 16 10:25:08 2019.

Been like that for months (live near a rail line, so I know what an empty intermodal carrier traveling east (most Asian imports arrive via Port of Los Angeles) looks like)

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by TRAIN DUDE on Sat Feb 16 10:38:17 2019, in response to Re: Fear of a recession, posted by bingbong on Sat Feb 16 10:36:14 2019.

LOL (live near a rail line)

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by BILLBKLYN on Sat Feb 16 10:50:30 2019, in response to Re: Fear of a recession, posted by Dave on Sat Feb 16 10:25:08 2019.

No. Actually in this case I just specifically meant the stock market. Although the economy is doing better

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by bingbong on Sat Feb 16 11:08:44 2019, in response to Re: Fear of a recession, posted by BILLBKLYN on Sat Feb 16 10:50:30 2019.

Not really. One important factor,consumer sentiment is taking a nosedive.

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(1601624)

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by BILLBKLYN on Sat Feb 16 12:10:22 2019, in response to Re: Fear of a recession, posted by bingbong on Sat Feb 16 11:08:44 2019.

Thank you, Wall Street Nancy!

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Re: Fear of a recession

Posted by orange blossom special on Mon Feb 18 08:40:55 2019, in response to Fear of a recession, posted by TransitChuckG on Thu Feb 14 16:40:33 2019.

2.5 years I've been promissed a recession.

The media was quicker at killing the economy under Bush than they are today.

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