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Re: 2008 Election Map by County

Posted by Charles G on Sat Nov 15 19:46:13 2008, in response to Re: 2008 Election Map by County, posted by AlM on Fri Nov 14 18:06:34 2008.

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I always felt that Democratic gerrymandering actually hurt their numbers in the House of Representatives.

There are lots of districts which have been created to be overwhelmingly for a particular ethnic group, which then votes 90-10 to put a Democrat into the House.

If you were to assume that the country was split 50-50, but then you take 10% of the districts and give them 90-10 Democrat margins, then the remaining 90% of districts will be starting from 54-46 deficits.

Of course, that's a bit of an oversimplification, because the numbers aren't 50-50 (they vary up and down), and the remaining districts are gerrymandered to a degree as well.

Still, creating districts where your candidate wins 90-10 on a regular basis always struck me as kind of dumb.

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Re: 2008 Election Map by County

Posted by Charles G on Sat Nov 15 19:47:12 2008, in response to Re: 2008 Election Map by County, posted by GP38/R42 Chris on Fri Nov 14 18:10:43 2008.

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So the cities go blue, the rural areas go red, and the suburban areas decide the election.

(not that I believe that either).

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Re: 2008 Election Map by County

Posted by AlM on Sat Nov 15 20:05:59 2008, in response to Re: 2008 Election Map by County, posted by Charles G on Sat Nov 15 19:46:13 2008.

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Still, creating districts where your candidate wins 90-10 on a regular basis always struck me as kind of dumb.


Isn't that more the result of the Voting Rights Act than gerrymandering?

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Re: 2008 Election Map by County

Posted by Charles G on Sat Nov 15 20:16:52 2008, in response to Re: 2008 Election Map by County, posted by AlM on Sat Nov 15 20:05:59 2008.

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Isn't that more the result of the Voting Rights Act than gerrymandering?

I don't know. I'm really very much in the dark about how it all came about, other than to look at the outcome statistically and declare it silly.

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Re: 2008 Election Map by County

Posted by GP38/R42 Chris on Sat Nov 15 22:54:21 2008, in response to Re: 2008 Election Map by County, posted by Charles G on Sat Nov 15 19:47:12 2008.

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That's not what I said.

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(1001410)

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Re: 2008 Election Map by County

Posted by Kevin from Midwood on Mon Oct 22 19:46:13 2012, in response to Re: 2008 Election Map by County, posted by Kew Gardens Teleport on Fri Nov 14 18:30:19 2008.

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Here's the explanation.

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(1001418)

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Re: 2008 Election Map by County

Posted by LuchAAA on Mon Oct 22 20:00:06 2012, in response to Re: 2008 Election Map by County, posted by Kevin from Midwood on Mon Oct 22 19:46:13 2012.

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Look at my county of Hillsborough. Very light blue. Most people think it's going back to the GOP. I still think Obama will win Florida for reasons I have pointed out.

But why did you post this? No one is talking about the south anymore. All the focus is on the Midwest firewall.

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Re: 2008 Election Map by County

Posted by LuchAAA on Mon Oct 22 20:00:12 2012, in response to Re: 2008 Election Map by County, posted by Kevin from Midwood on Mon Oct 22 19:46:13 2012.

fiogf49gjkf0d
Look at my county of Hillsborough. Very light blue. Most people think it's going back to the GOP. I still think Obama will win Florida for reasons I have pointed out.

But why did you post this? No one is talking about the south anymore. All the focus is on the Midwest firewall.

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Re: 2008 Election Map by County

Posted by LuchAAA on Mon Oct 22 20:00:12 2012, in response to Re: 2008 Election Map by County, posted by Kevin from Midwood on Mon Oct 22 19:46:13 2012.

fiogf49gjkf0d
Look at my county of Hillsborough. Very light blue. Most people think it's going back to the GOP. I still think Obama will win Florida for reasons I have pointed out.

But why did you post this? No one is talking about the south anymore. All the focus is on the Midwest firewall.

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