|
|
| Re: Sarah Palin 'believed Queen was in charge of British forces in Iraq' (921095) | |||
 |
|||
| Home > OTChat | |||
|
[ Read Responses | Post a New Response | Return to the Index ] |
|
||
|
Re: Sarah Palin 'believed Queen was in charge of British forces in Iraq' |
|
|
Posted by AlM on Sun Mar 18 10:09:42 2012, in response to Re: Sarah Palin 'believed Queen was in charge of British forces in Iraq', posted by JayMan on Sun Mar 18 09:51:11 2012. Some of us can actually calculate probabilities and use those probabilities to guide us in making decisions. It is why some people are better gamblers than others.It's not that you calculate probabilities well, it's that you put different values on outcomes. Spider-Pig seems to value Obama as maybe a +10, Romney as a +5, and Santorum as a -100. I probably would put them as +10, 0, and -50. In either case anything that favors Santorum is a bad idea because it introduces a risk of the -100 or the -50. You seem to put Obama at +10, Romney at -80, and Santorum at -100. In that case I agree that it might be rational to push Santorum's candidacy because of his lesser chance of winning, and the lower ADDED risk (relative to Romney) you perceive in a Santorum victory. |
|
|
|