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UPDATE (11PM) Hurricane Earl

Posted by JayMan on Tue Aug 31 23:20:59 2010, in response to Re: Hurricane Earl, posted by JayMan on Mon Aug 30 08:59:19 2010.

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The storm is maintaining strength at 115 knots (~135 mph, category 4). The forecast track has not changed, it brings Earl close to the Carolina coast late Thursday/early Friday as a category 3, and then into the vicinity of the Northeast late Friday as a category 2. The forecast track has it headed to Cape Cod, but the error cone includes western LI on one side and Nova Scotia on the other. In any case, the wind field is large enough that areas far removed from the center will experience tropical storm or hurricane force winds (this is on top of the uncertainty in the track of the center itself). New England seems almost certain to be affected, while it's a bit more up in the air about NYC and NJ.

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