| Re: Hurricane Earl (656922) | |||
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Re: Hurricane Earl |
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Posted by JayMan on Mon Aug 30 08:59:19 2010, in response to Hurricane Earl, posted by JayZeeBMT on Mon Aug 30 08:10:52 2010. You just beat me to it! Yes, the hurricane may visit the Northeast by Saturday, and it's expected to be a category 2 at the time. But, remember that the National Hurricane Center's track and intensity forecasts are fairly unreliable that many days out. (However, just as a personal hunch, I would say we're looking at a strong category 2 hurricane making landfall in Eastern CT-RI.) The point of landfall could be anywhere from North Carolina to Newfoundland.The maximum strength a hurricane could have this far north is only category 2, and maybe cat 3, because of the cold waters off the northeast coast. Even still, with the landfall so far east, NYC would be on the western side of the eye, which, owing to the hurricane's rotation is where you want to be. Wind, wave, and surge will all be moving offshore. In the City, likely the beach and Jamaica Bay would take a hit, and people in taller buildings (where the winds would be stronger) would see windows blown out. A few of the weaker houses might see roof damage. While the storm is in town, with 60-80 mph winds and driving rain it would be miserable for anyone outside. Subways would likely flood. The best bet would be to hunker down at home in a study building away from windows during the storm. Overall, the City should be fine. The beach houses in southern LI might not fare quite so well though. But again, it is too soon to tell exactly what this storm will do. But in any case I think everyone in the Northeast should be ready for the possibility of a major hurricane by the end of the week. |