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| NYC Statehood and the Electoral College Re: List Of Books Palin Tried To Have Banned (512801) | |||
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NYC Statehood and the Electoral College Re: List Of Books Palin Tried To Have Banned |
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Posted by Kew Gardens Teleport on Tue Oct 20 10:45:08 2009, in response to Re: List Of Books Palin Tried To Have Banned, posted by Kew Gardens Teleport on Sat Sep 6 20:14:37 2008. I stumbled across this thread again whilst looking for something else, and it reminded me that I meant to update this after the election, but never got around to it. Anyway, if you define an eleven-county NYC metro, the following happened:Whole State: Obama 62.9%, McCain 36.0%, others 1.1% NYC Metro: Obama 68.6%, McCain 30.7%, others 0.7% Rest of State: Obama 53.9%, McCain 44.4%, others 1.6% The NYC Metro area would have been Obama's third strongest state/district after DC and HI (and just above VT). The rest of the state has near identical percentages to IA (depending on how you count it, it's a fraction either way: Obama did 0.01 %age points better in NY-rump, whilst McCain did 0.02 %age points better in NY-rump); the next more Democratic state was MN and the next more Republican was CO. So ultimately, everyone was right: there are still Republicans in the NYC metro area (it only leapfrogged RI and VT -- it's still not another DC), whilst the rest of the state would be very much a swing state, albeit one which was the Democrats' to lose. One final thing to note is that my back of the envelope calculations suggest that the NYC metro area would have had 21 electoral votes and the rest of the state 12. If politics were all about elections, NYC statehood would appeal to both parties: one side would see it as a free extra two votes, whilst the other would see it as an extra twelve to fight for. Of course, this is all in fact totally unreal, but rather fun to think about. |
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