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| Re: The President Shows His Compassion (and maybe something else?) (469143) | |||
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Re: The President Shows His Compassion (and maybe something else?) |
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Posted by RIPTA42HopeTunnel on Thu Jul 2 15:38:50 2009, in response to Re: The President Shows His Compassion (and maybe something else?), posted by GP38/R42 Chris on Thu Jul 2 14:13:47 2009. Well we don't wouldn't actually know, as the sample was flawed.It's relatively simple math. In the poll, 40% of respondents (361) voted for Obama, 21% (188) voted for McCain, and the rest (346) voted for someone else, refused to answer, or aren't registered. Let's call these people "other." In the general election, the split was 53% Obama, 46% McCain, and 1% other. The article breaks down the responses based on party affiliation, so let's say all the "Democrats" are Obama supporters, all the "Republicans" are McCain supporters, and all the "Independents" are "other." So out of 361 "Democrats": 87% favor = 314 9% oppose = 32 4% don't know = 15 Out of 188 "Republicans": 50% favor = 94 39% oppose = 73 11% don't know = 21 Out of 346 "Independents": 73% favor = 254 22% oppose = 77 4% oppose = 15 If the sample was broken down according to the 2008 election results, it should be 474 "Democrats," 412 "Republicans," and 9 "Independents." Weighing this sample, each "Democrat" response counts as 1.313 responses, each "Republican" response counts as 2.192 responses, and each "Independent" response counts for 0.026 responses. Favor: (314 x 1.313) + (94 x 2.192) + (254 x 0.026) = 625 = 70% Oppose: (32 x 1.313) + (73 x 2.192) + (77 x 0.026) = 204 = 23% Don't Know: (15 x 1.313) + (21 x 2.192) + (15 x 0.026) = 62 = 7% Not too far off from the actual poll. |
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