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Re: Accident (By the numbers)

Posted by AlM on Fri Jan 16 21:04:58 2009, in response to Re: Accident (By the numbers), posted by Train Dude on Fri Jan 16 20:07:42 2009.

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Perhaps you and others didn't understand the point I was trying to make. Not important though.

You were either trying to make a joke (which was my interpretation at first) or else you just don't understand probability and statistics (which is another possibility).

Either way, this sentence is simply incorrect:

"Hence, each successive flight without a fatal accident, raises the likelihood that there will be a fatal airline accident. "

That's not how probability works.

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