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| Re: It's easy, once you find the runway! (394255) | |||
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Re: It's easy, once you find the runway! |
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Posted by AlM on Wed Dec 17 11:14:46 2008, in response to Re: It's easy, once you find the runway!, posted by LuchAAA on Wed Dec 17 01:42:48 2008. I'm in a hotel in NC, driving back to Florida, after walking out of JFK fearing for my life. I booked a flight figuring it's easier to fly 3 hours to Tampa instead of driving for two days, but I just don't trust the airlines, personnel, and the NY airports in particular.You really do need to learn some statistics. 40,000 people die every year on the roads in the US. Say over half of those are their own damn fault (drunk, careless, tired, etc.). That leaves 15K due to being in the wrong place at the wrong time. Let's say every one of 300 million American rides 10K miles per year (that's high). That means 3 trillion passenger miles per year. So 15K unavoidable deaths per 3 trillion passenger miles, which is 5 per billion or 0.5 per 100 million. So for the 1000 miles to FL, you have a 1 in 200,000 chance of dying if you drive carefully. That doesn't sound like much, but consider that if you do the drive 500 times in your entire life (10 times a year for 50 years), it becomes a 1 in 400 chance of dying in your car. Commercial airplanes have 0.01 deaths per 100 million passenger miles. So for the 1000 miles to FL you have 1 chance in 10 million of dying. |
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