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Re: RIP The CD 1982-2007

Posted by JohnL on Mon Apr 2 14:33:29 2007, in response to Re: RIP The CD 1982-2007, posted by Chris R16/R2730 on Mon Apr 2 14:19:10 2007.

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The format will still have considerable use for at least another decade.

You may well be right about 2007, but how do you come to the conclusion about CDs being around for another decade? I can certainly see that data CDs will be in use, as they are a cheap way to send 700MB of data, though they will be eclipsed in the relatively near future by DVDs, as the costs of the blank media are now the same and DVD media is only going to get cheaper.

I don’t see mass-produced music CDs lasting ten years. Vinyl records didn’t last ten years after the CD was introduced—except for very limited editions for the luddites claiming analog is best. No doubt these luddites will exist in the CD world, but I can see a very rapid fall-off from the 80 Million pressed CDs in the USA in 2006, which is a 20% decline since 2005.

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