|
|
| Re: I'm Pretty Sure Trump Is Wrong This Time (2042400) | |||
 |
|||
| Home > OTChat | |||
|
[ Read Responses | Post a New Response | Return to the Index ] |
|
||
|
Re: I'm Pretty Sure Trump Is Wrong This Time |
|
|
Posted by Stephen Bauman on Tue Jun 30 17:20:25 2026, in response to Re: I'm Pretty Sure Trump Is Wrong This Time, posted by Avid reader on Tue Jun 30 11:05:25 2026. I'd drop a very important bridge on a supply route and drop one very important power plant.One lesson that should have been learned from 9/11 is that "Fortress America" is no longer immune from military attack. The invention of drones has provided many more opportunities to attack the US besides turning passenger planes into missiles. Another lesson from globalization and Covid is that the US must rely on an international supply chain for critical goods. This means an entity does not need to directly attack the US to inflict substantial damage. The only way for an attack on Iran to be successful is regime change, followed by military occupation. Anything less would be interpreted as a victory in their convoluted logic. The requirement for military occupation is 20-25 soldiers per 1000 inhabitants. Otherwise, there will be a successful insurgency. Iran's population is 93 million. It will take 2.3 million army troops to occupy Iran for an indefinite period until the last vestiges of present regime's supporters are discredited in the eyes of the remaining population. Those 2.3 million necessary occupying troops constitute more than twice as much as the current regular and reserve army plus the National Guard. Increasing army strength to reach that requirement will most certainly require re-imposition of the draft. These are some of the costs for pursuing a hawk policy. How many people can be convinced to bear that cost? |
|
|
|