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| Re: 1 Million US Covid Deaths - No End In Sight (1898147) | |||
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Re: 1 Million US Covid Deaths - No End In Sight |
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Posted by Stephen Bauman on Wed May 18 21:49:43 2022, in response to Re: 1 Million US Covid Deaths - No End In Sight, posted by Fisk Ave Jim on Wed May 18 19:57:19 2022. Isint that what happens with seasonal influenza outbreaks, and a vaccine is developed to minimize sickness and death each year?Looks like different strains of covid will be with us for the long term and a vaccine will be developed along with natural immunity to combat each wave. Like seasonal flu. Before a vaccine can be developed, people will get Covid 3 to 4 times per year. 10% of them will get long term Covid which will keep them out of action for 3 to 6 months. These two paragraphs from the middle of the cited article describe what that means: Needless to say, getting infected multiple times a year with a virus that has the potential to cause a host of other health problems — including “long COVID” in roughly 10% of those it infects — is not optimal. Combine frequent reinfections with rising breakthrough cases, meanwhile, and the virus’s overall burden on society will soar — both in terms of sick days at work and school and the threat of more serious outcomes, including death. Even now, Omicron and its descendants aren’t just evading immunity against infection (even shortly after a booster shot). They’re showing they can erode at least some protection against severe illness as well. The effect of having a significant portion of society unable to work will cause far greater economic and social disruptions than have been seen to date. I don't expect society to come together to fight a common goal, given its response to the modest shortages we have seen to date. The article's solution is to develop a long lasting vaccine that will be effective against all variants and possibly prevent transmission by being in the nasal passages. I'm not so sure such vaccines can be developed because of the virus' mutation propensity. Also, what happens before such vaccines are available? The only strategy that has been shown to work is isolation/quarantine until the infection level can be contained through rigorous contact tracing and border control. These should not be relaxed until there no cases are recorded for two or three weeks for those who were in isolation/quarantine. I saw one report that contact tracing procedure will be in place, when Shanghai comes out of lockdown. Thousands of tents are being set up throughout Shanghai to administer PCR tests. All people will be required to get a PCR test every 48 hours. The results will be available within 6 hours and transmitted to the person's smartphone. The smartphone results will be the person's pass to enter "crowded" areas. There are holes in this procedure because Covid can be transmitted before a person's returns a positive PCR test and after that same person's PCR test goes back to negative. Covid has shown itself to be capable of finding such holes to reproduce. That's why testing is required on a continuing basis until it's eradicated. |
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