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Re: New Zealand reinstates lockdowns after first case in 102 days (How New Zealand Got Rid of COVID-19?)

Posted by Stephen Bauman on Tue Aug 11 17:32:09 2020, in response to Re: New Zealand reinstates lockdowns after first case in 102 days (How New Zealand Got Rid of COVID-19?), posted by AlM on Tue Aug 11 17:09:45 2020.

It also makes clear that their approach doesn't work in a larger country.

Japan, Singapore, and South Korea are bigger countries that got down to 0 cases. They failed at the stage that now confronts New Zealand.

It was entirely possible to organize a similar response in the US. It wasn't considered because of that old US "can't do" attitude.

there would always be some cases going on that would require a temporary shutdown.

The reason NZ got to 0 cases was they introduced a complete shutdown to stop any community spread. That shutdown was of indeterminate length, until there were 0 cases (plus 2 weeks).

Any case that's discovered after re-opening means revert to a complete shutdown mode. It may be for a shorter interval because contact tracing is practical. The initial total shutdown is for 3 days at the disease's location. There's a partial shutdown over a larger area. They need to see whether they have contained the disease.

The need for repeated shutdowns upon discovering disease pockets isn't a shortcoming. It's the way the disease is eradicated.

The US approach has been to limit Covid's spread so that it does not overwhelm the medical system. The US has been willing to sacrifice some people by not trying for 0 cases.

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