Re: Skepticism and the Pandemic (1712483) | |||
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Re: Skepticism and the Pandemic |
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Posted by Kevin from Midwood on Tue Mar 31 12:55:40 2020, in response to Skepticism and the Pandemic, posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Mar 31 11:16:47 2020. Even Neil Ferguson, the lead author of the Imperial College study has recently revised his own calculations about the UK from 500,000 deaths down to 20,000 or fewer.[4] I wonder what he says about the US now? Yet calculations like these that are driving the shut-downs of “non-essential” businesses in many states.The post's author got this wrong, too — see here or here. Also, if you're writing a piece about trying to see beyond your own usual perspective/biases (and why you think you shouldn't), maybe link to a source that's more middle-of-the-road than the Washington Examiner. Yet the calculations justifying keeping so many businesses shuttered are that almost two-and-a-half million more Minnesotans will contract the virus, resulting in sixty thousand in-patients at Minnesota hospitals simply for this virus. He includes other citations, so why are there none for this claim? Most hospitalization rates I've seen are closer to 10% than 2.5%. |
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