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| Re: Skepticism and the Pandemic (1712449) | |||
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Re: Skepticism and the Pandemic |
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Posted by AlM on Tue Mar 31 11:28:02 2020, in response to Skepticism and the Pandemic, posted by ChicagoMotorman on Tue Mar 31 11:16:47 2020. This guy is adapting the facts to his point of view.What we cannot do is to continue to make drastic decisions that affect the lives of millions of people on the basis of worst-case scenarios that do not factor in either our lack of knowledge about where in the curve we are or the mitigation being done by changes of habits or the different kinds of living arrangements in different locales or the strides taken by states, the medical establishment, and businesses to mitigate the crisis if the numbers of significantly ill do shoot up. If we just had decent testing, we wouldn't be making decisions based on such an incredible lack of knowledge. Seventy percent of the deaths thus far have come from six coastal states with large city populations and lots of travel: New York (whose deaths are about a third of the U.S.’s as a whole), Washington, California, New Jersey, Georgia, and Louisiana. Um, CA has a low death rate relative to its population. GA and LA are not states with large city populations and lots of travel. WA doesn't really fit his description either. King County, the not-really-that-dense urban core of WA, doesn't have such a high case rate. Note: to the extent that he says "it's complicated," I agree with him fully. Pity we don't have a president who can cope with that. |
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