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Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

Posted by Henry R32 #3730 on Mon Jan 7 18:30:36 2019, in response to Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020, posted by Spider-Pig on Mon Jan 7 16:51:10 2019.

Statistically an incumbent that turned as few seats as Trump did during the midterms has an 8/9 chance to be re-elected for a second term.

With this field of candidates look for Trump to have a similar outcome as Cuomo - despite all the complaining about the incumbent by D and R alike, the opposing party will not put forth someone able to overcome the incumbent advantage, the incumbent party will not field a primary candidate that will make any headway, and the incumbent will win simply due to the opposition not bothering to show up.

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