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| Re: Nate Silver / 538 Blog - Trump would win if election held today (1382660) | |||
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Re: Nate Silver / 538 Blog - Trump would win if election held today |
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Posted by RIPTA42HopeTunnel on Mon Jul 25 14:16:42 2016, in response to Re: Nate Silver / 538 Blog - Trump would win if election held today, posted by Spider-Pig on Mon Jul 25 13:33:37 2016. Nate Silver has the best track record. You only like whatever evidence fits your worldview.Nate Silver's own EV forecast has Clinton winning, albeit not as close. Silver only has Trump winning "if the election were held today." If you read his methodology, that weights the latest polls more heavily, calculates more aggressive trendlines, and captures the convention bounce. |
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