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Re: Iowa Caucus Results Thread

Posted by AlM on Wed Feb 3 16:50:33 2016, in response to Re: Iowa Caucus Results Thread, posted by AlM on Wed Feb 3 16:42:54 2016.

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Iowa polls overstated Trump by 8%. The best reason is that people knew his name, and said they'd vote for him, but then when they went to look at what he was really like, a lot of them were repelled.

This phenomenon is not unique to Iowa. Expect Trump to underperform by 8%, give or take, in every state.




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