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Re: WaPo's electoral model gives GOP a 95% chance of retaking Senate

Posted by AlM on Sat Oct 11 14:02:10 2014, in response to WaPo's electoral model gives GOP a 95% chance of retaking Senate, posted by Olog-hai on Sat Oct 11 13:33:30 2014.

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Rather, the difference is more about the statistical confidence in our predictions. At Election Lab, we have always had a smaller margin of error than the other modelers.

So everyone says the Republicans are more likely than not to take the Senate. All this means is that if the Democrats do keep the Senate the least embarrassed people will be 538.





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