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Re: Dictatorship not Democracyn

Posted by BrooklynBus on Wed Jun 8 12:41:27 2016, in response to Re: Dictatorship not Democracyn, posted by R30A on Fri May 27 20:28:31 2016.

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No. such are not comparable statistics. Annual rate of each is what matters, not chance per crossing. Your crossing numbers have no real relevance to what is being discussed. See Merrick1's post for the actual numbers here.

My statistics are definitely comparable and I was speaking about the annual rate of each as you stated. I agree with the 1 in a million chance in a year of getting struck by lightning. Here is what I said again:

"If we assume that those odds are the same in New York City, we then have to compare the number of safe street crossings versus the number of crossings that result in injury or death in a year. Including visitors, there are about 14 million people in New York City everyday. If each person crosses the street only twice, that is 28 million crossings per day. If we multiply that by 300, we have at least 8,400,000,000 crossings per year. So there would have to be more than 8,400 injuries and deaths per year for your chances of getting hurt crossing the street to be greater than being struck by lightning. The number of annual pedestrian deaths in NYC are under 200 with about another 1200 injuries. So your chances of getting struck by lighting is roughly eight times greater than getting hurt or killed crossing the street in NYC, and that number doubles if each person crosses an average of four streets instead of two every day."

Just because you say those statistics are not comparable, does not make it true. It is eight times more likely that you will get struck by lightning than be killed crossing the street. That takes the annual statistics of both and extrapolates it to your chances of getting killed crossing the street by comparing it vs the chance of getting struck by lightning. Perfectly valid comparison.

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