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Re: We Now Have Definitive Proof SBS is a Failure

Posted by BrooklynBus on Mon May 11 11:20:21 2015, in response to Re: We Now Have Definitive Proof SBS is a Failure, posted by R30A on Sun May 10 10:17:52 2015.

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If ridership increased on every SBS line last year, and ridership had gone down on every SBS line immediately after they were converted, SBS would be a failure.

Totally untrue. If you wenntto Planning school, you woud realize that it takes time for people to alter their travel patterns. Sometimes it could take years. Their other choices available also matter.

Under your scenario, it would indicate that SBS was a failure the first year, but circumstances changed after that. If the subsequent ridership increases on SBS were no greater than on other routes, that would mean other circumstances have come into play like a change in the economy.

However, if the increase in ridership on SBS routes has gone up markedly, it could mean several things, all indicating success. Among these reasons could be that changes were made after the first year like better SBS enforcement, priority signals added after the first year, fare machines broken less often, some drivers decided to try the bus instead and liked it, among others.

There is no reason to believe that only the first year data indicates success or failure and data from the second and third years are irrelevant as far as SBS is concerned.

Data in subsequent years is just as important as from the first year and has more relevance because circumstances are always changing. Success or failure after the first year does not indicate success or failure for all time. It just tells you what happened after the first year and that's all.

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