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Re: What is wrong with Select Bus Service

Posted by BrooklynBus on Sat Jul 9 10:25:08 2011, in response to Re: What is wrong with Select Bus Service, posted by B49 Limited on Sat Jul 9 09:47:15 2011.

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The question you have to ask yourself is if it's possible for any local route to make money? Thirty-five years ago, I was told that for a route to break even, it had to always have a seated load in both directions at all times with an average trip length of 2.5 miles per passenger. That means if there is peak directional travel, every time a bus is carrying 5 passengers another one going the other way has to at least be carrying 75 to make up for it. Also if two buses are bunched and one is carrying 70 and the other 10, that still averages out to only a seated load. You also have to consider that most routes are light near their end points and overnight buses are nearly empty. Also, today there are fewer seats and operating costs are higher although the fare is also higher. So the question is today, what is the average load you need to break even. If it is something like 60 passengers on every bus at all times, that is not possible to attain during the best of circumstances. You also have to factor in the artics which have a higher capacity.

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